{
  "as_of": "2026-07-10",
  "blocked_actions": [],
  "capital_policy": {
    "contingency_share": 0.1,
    "experiment_share": 0.2,
    "moves_funds": false,
    "physical_form_fund_share": 0.7,
    "starting_owner_capital": 0.0
  },
  "current_portfolio": [
    {
      "acquisition_channel": "GitHub Pages proof page and public intake first; Contra and Upwork after owner connection.",
      "actual_checkout_starts": 0,
      "actual_contacts": 0,
      "actual_cost": 0.0,
      "actual_impressions": 0,
      "actual_purchases": 0,
      "actual_replies": 0,
      "agent_actions_available": [
        "Build offer and sample",
        "Research public prospects",
        "Run public-safe audits",
        "Prepare and fulfill reports and patches"
      ],
      "current_status": "validating",
      "estimated_cost": 0.0,
      "evidence": [
        "ev-upwork-demand-2026",
        "ev-upwork-live-evals-job",
        "ev-fiverr-ai-marketplace",
        "ev-contra-agent-commerce"
      ],
      "expected_outcome": "One verified customer and at least $100 net from a single fixed-scope engagement.",
      "experiment_id": "m3-2026-07-09-01",
      "fees": 0,
      "gross_revenue": 0,
      "human_actions_required": [
        "Connect and verify a marketplace/payment account only after a qualified buyer requests purchase.",
        "Grant customer repository access when private code is required."
      ],
      "intended_buyer": "Indie AI product founders and small teams with a working agent, MCP server, or LLM workflow approaching launch.",
      "kill_criteria": [
        {
          "all": [
            {
              "metric": "actual_contacts",
              "operator": "gte",
              "value": 25
            },
            {
              "metric": "actual_replies",
              "operator": "lte",
              "value": 0
            }
          ],
          "reason": "Kill after 25 qualified contacts produce no replies."
        }
      ],
      "last_decision": "Selected for the cash role at role score 8.68.",
      "net_revenue": 0.0,
      "next_action_authority_class": "autonomous",
      "next_action_channel_id": "github_pages",
      "next_executable_action": "Measure qualified interest in the published QA offer and audit hooks through the public-safe GitHub intake.",
      "offer": "Within 48 hours, test one public or owner-provided agent/MCP workflow against 25 launch cases, deliver a prioritized defect report, and implement one agreed repair patch.",
      "opportunity_id": "opp-agent-launch-qa",
      "payment_rail": "Contra guest checkout after demand and owner verification; no checkout is active during validation.",
      "pivot_criteria": [
        {
          "all": [
            {
              "metric": "actual_replies",
              "operator": "gte",
              "value": 3
            },
            {
              "metric": "actual_checkout_starts",
              "operator": "lte",
              "value": 0
            }
          ],
          "reason": "Pivot scope when replies occur but no buyer begins checkout."
        }
      ],
      "price": {
        "amount": 149,
        "billing_model": "fixed",
        "currency": "USD"
      },
      "refunds": 0,
      "required_assets": [
        "Fixed-scope offer",
        "Public sample report",
        "Public-safe intake",
        "Marketplace listing draft"
      ],
      "required_human_setup": [
        "None for public validation",
        "Contra or equivalent seller verification only after qualified purchase intent"
      ],
      "review_date": "2026-07-12",
      "role": "cash",
      "scale_criteria": [
        {
          "all": [
            {
              "metric": "actual_purchases",
              "operator": "gte",
              "value": 3
            },
            {
              "metric": "net_revenue",
              "operator": "gte",
              "value": 300
            }
          ],
          "reason": "Scale after three verified purchases and $300 net revenue."
        }
      ],
      "start_date": "2026-07-09",
      "thesis": "Small teams shipping agents will pay for a fixed, concrete launch gate because current buyers explicitly request evals, schema validation, kill switches, and observability.",
      "validation_72h": [
        "At least 25 qualified public prospect records prepared",
        "At least 3 public-safe personalized audit hooks prepared",
        "At least 1 qualified public interest issue or connected-channel reply after distribution begins"
      ]
    },
    {
      "acquisition_channel": "GitHub Pages sample and Contra digital product after validation.",
      "actual_checkout_starts": 0,
      "actual_contacts": 0,
      "actual_cost": 0.0,
      "actual_impressions": 0,
      "actual_purchases": 0,
      "actual_replies": 0,
      "agent_actions_available": [
        "Build sample cases",
        "Define schema",
        "Package documentation",
        "Fulfill download"
      ],
      "current_status": "validating",
      "estimated_cost": 0.0,
      "evidence": [
        "ev-upwork-live-evals-job",
        "ev-upwork-demand-2026",
        "ev-contra-agent-commerce"
      ],
      "expected_outcome": "Validate whether reusable QA assets can sell without custom implementation.",
      "experiment_id": "m3-2026-07-09-02",
      "fees": 0,
      "gross_revenue": 0,
      "human_actions_required": [
        "Marketplace verification only after demand signal"
      ],
      "intended_buyer": "Indie agent builders who need a compact launch gate but do not want an enterprise eval platform.",
      "kill_criteria": [
        {
          "all": [
            {
              "metric": "actual_impressions",
              "operator": "gte",
              "value": 100
            },
            {
              "metric": "actual_contacts",
              "operator": "lte",
              "value": 0
            }
          ],
          "reason": "Kill when 100 measured impressions produce no interest signals."
        }
      ],
      "last_decision": "Selected for the asset role at role score 8.23.",
      "net_revenue": 0.0,
      "next_action_authority_class": "autonomous",
      "next_action_channel_id": "github_pages",
      "next_executable_action": "Measure qualified interest in the five-case sample through the public-safe GitHub intake.",
      "offer": "A downloadable launch-gate pack with 25 agent test cases, scoring rules, report schema, and a regression checklist.",
      "opportunity_id": "opp-agent-launch-gate",
      "payment_rail": "Contra digital-product checkout after owner verification.",
      "pivot_criteria": [
        {
          "all": [
            {
              "metric": "actual_contacts",
              "operator": "gte",
              "value": 3
            },
            {
              "metric": "actual_purchases",
              "operator": "lte",
              "value": 0
            }
          ],
          "reason": "Pivot format when interest does not convert."
        }
      ],
      "price": {
        "amount": 39,
        "billing_model": "founding_license",
        "currency": "USD"
      },
      "refunds": 0,
      "required_assets": [
        "Free five-case sample",
        "Report schema",
        "License offer",
        "Interest intake"
      ],
      "required_human_setup": [
        "None for validation",
        "Contra seller verification only after qualified purchase intent"
      ],
      "review_date": "2026-07-12",
      "role": "asset",
      "scale_criteria": [
        {
          "all": [
            {
              "metric": "actual_purchases",
              "operator": "gte",
              "value": 10
            }
          ],
          "reason": "Scale after ten verified licenses."
        }
      ],
      "start_date": "2026-07-09",
      "thesis": "The same eval pain can become a reusable, high-margin asset if a narrow launch gate packages test cases, scoring, and a report schema without requiring a hosted platform.",
      "validation_72h": [
        "At least 50 sample views once distribution begins",
        "At least 3 public interest signals",
        "No checkout infrastructure before those signals"
      ]
    },
    {
      "acquisition_channel": "Public machine-readable sample, x402 community, and Bazaar only after validation.",
      "actual_checkout_starts": 0,
      "actual_contacts": 0,
      "actual_cost": 0.0,
      "actual_impressions": 0,
      "actual_purchases": 0,
      "actual_replies": 0,
      "agent_actions_available": [
        "Refresh public feed",
        "Normalize non-sensitive metrics",
        "Publish free sample",
        "Prepare endpoint manifest"
      ],
      "current_status": "validating",
      "estimated_cost": 0.0,
      "evidence": [
        "ev-x402-live-scan",
        "ev-x402-free-tooling"
      ],
      "expected_outcome": "Obtain explicit demand for the normalized signal before building an always-on paid endpoint.",
      "experiment_id": "m3-2026-07-09-03",
      "fees": 0,
      "gross_revenue": 0,
      "human_actions_required": [
        "Create a dedicated receiving wallet only after validation",
        "Approve mainnet activation policy"
      ],
      "intended_buyer": "Autonomous agents and x402 builders deciding what paid endpoint to call or build.",
      "kill_criteria": [
        {
          "all": [
            {
              "metric": "actual_impressions",
              "operator": "gte",
              "value": 100
            },
            {
              "metric": "actual_contacts",
              "operator": "lte",
              "value": 0
            }
          ],
          "reason": "Kill when 100 measured impressions produce no requests."
        }
      ],
      "last_decision": "Selected for the frontier role at role score 7.65.",
      "net_revenue": 0.0,
      "next_action_authority_class": "autonomous",
      "next_action_channel_id": "github_pages",
      "next_executable_action": "Refresh the normalized sample and measure explicit endpoint or recurring-use requests without enabling payments.",
      "offer": "A machine-readable snapshot that ranks x402 service categories by observed calls, payer breadth, listing quality, and competition.",
      "opportunity_id": "opp-x402-opportunity-pulse",
      "payment_rail": "x402 after a dedicated owner-configured project wallet; no paid endpoint is active during validation.",
      "pivot_criteria": [
        {
          "all": [
            {
              "metric": "actual_contacts",
              "operator": "gte",
              "value": 3
            },
            {
              "metric": "actual_purchases",
              "operator": "lte",
              "value": 0
            }
          ],
          "reason": "Pivot data fields based on requested use cases."
        }
      ],
      "price": {
        "amount": 0.25,
        "billing_model": "per_snapshot",
        "currency": "USDC"
      },
      "refunds": 0,
      "required_assets": [
        "Free sample JSON",
        "Machine-readable product manifest",
        "Demand intake"
      ],
      "required_human_setup": [
        "None for validation",
        "Dedicated project wallet only after three explicit requests"
      ],
      "review_date": "2026-07-12",
      "role": "frontier",
      "scale_criteria": [
        {
          "all": [
            {
              "metric": "actual_purchases",
              "operator": "gte",
              "value": 100
            }
          ],
          "reason": "Scale after 100 verified paid calls."
        }
      ],
      "start_date": "2026-07-09",
      "thesis": "Agents may pay for a compact normalized view of active x402 demand and competition, but a free raw feed exists, so only a differentiated sample should be built before wallet infrastructure.",
      "validation_72h": [
        "At least 3 explicit endpoint requests or integrations",
        "At least 1 request identifies a recurring use case",
        "No wallet setup before the threshold"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "cycle_id": "m3-cycle-2026-07-10",
  "decision_history": [
    {
      "as_of": "2026-07-09",
      "cycle_id": "m3-cycle-2026-07-09",
      "decision": "Selected Agent Launch QA Sprint for cash; overall score 8.24, role score 8.68."
    },
    {
      "as_of": "2026-07-09",
      "cycle_id": "m3-cycle-2026-07-09",
      "decision": "Selected Agent Launch Gate Founding License for asset; overall score 7.64, role score 8.23."
    },
    {
      "as_of": "2026-07-09",
      "cycle_id": "m3-cycle-2026-07-09",
      "decision": "Selected Agent Opportunity Pulse for frontier; overall score 6.86, role score 7.65."
    }
  ],
  "decisions": [],
  "evidence_ids": [
    "ev-contra-agent-commerce",
    "ev-fiverr-ai-marketplace",
    "ev-linkedin-creator-thresholds",
    "ev-nft-market",
    "ev-openai-product-discovery",
    "ev-upwork-demand-2026",
    "ev-upwork-live-evals-job",
    "ev-x402-free-tooling",
    "ev-x402-live-scan",
    "ev-youtube-thresholds"
  ],
  "lifecycle_history": [],
  "mission": "Maximize verified, lawful net revenue while retaining strategic freedom and allocating verified profits toward the agent's physical form.",
  "next_autonomous_actions": [
    {
      "action_id": "2026-07-10-action-01",
      "authority_class": "autonomous",
      "blocked_reason": "",
      "channel_id": "github_pages",
      "description": "Measure qualified interest in the published QA offer and audit hooks through the public-safe GitHub intake.",
      "executable_now": true,
      "experiment_id": "m3-2026-07-09-01"
    },
    {
      "action_id": "2026-07-10-action-02",
      "authority_class": "autonomous",
      "blocked_reason": "",
      "channel_id": "github_pages",
      "description": "Measure qualified interest in the five-case sample through the public-safe GitHub intake.",
      "executable_now": true,
      "experiment_id": "m3-2026-07-09-02"
    },
    {
      "action_id": "2026-07-10-action-03",
      "authority_class": "autonomous",
      "blocked_reason": "",
      "channel_id": "github_pages",
      "description": "Refresh the normalized sample and measure explicit endpoint or recurring-use requests without enabling payments.",
      "executable_now": true,
      "experiment_id": "m3-2026-07-09-03"
    }
  ],
  "notes": [
    "Scores are decision aids backed by cited evidence, not manufactured conversion probabilities.",
    "Payment rails were evaluated after each offer and buyer were defined.",
    "Public metrics remain separate from verified transaction revenue.",
    "M1 remains historical; M3 does not call the fixed static strategy library."
  ],
  "owner_funds_spent": 0.0,
  "ranked_opportunities": [
    {
      "category": "productized_service",
      "evidence_ids": [
        "ev-upwork-demand-2026",
        "ev-upwork-live-evals-job",
        "ev-fiverr-ai-marketplace",
        "ev-contra-agent-commerce"
      ],
      "name": "Agent Launch QA Sprint",
      "opportunity_id": "opp-agent-launch-qa",
      "overall_score": 8.24,
      "rank": 1,
      "role_scores": {
        "asset": 7.93,
        "cash": 8.68,
        "frontier": 7.43
      }
    },
    {
      "category": "digital_product",
      "evidence_ids": [
        "ev-upwork-live-evals-job",
        "ev-upwork-demand-2026",
        "ev-contra-agent-commerce"
      ],
      "name": "Agent Launch Gate Founding License",
      "opportunity_id": "opp-agent-launch-gate",
      "overall_score": 7.64,
      "rank": 2,
      "role_scores": {
        "asset": 8.23,
        "cash": 7.23,
        "frontier": 7.23
      }
    },
    {
      "category": "research_service",
      "evidence_ids": [
        "ev-upwork-demand-2026",
        "ev-fiverr-ai-marketplace",
        "ev-contra-agent-commerce"
      ],
      "name": "Evidence-Backed Competitor Brief",
      "opportunity_id": "opp-evidence-brief",
      "overall_score": 7.61,
      "rank": 3,
      "role_scores": {
        "asset": 7.46,
        "cash": 7.71,
        "frontier": 6.71
      }
    },
    {
      "category": "implementation_service",
      "evidence_ids": [
        "ev-upwork-demand-2026",
        "ev-upwork-live-evals-job",
        "ev-contra-agent-commerce"
      ],
      "name": "MCP Integration Launch Sprint",
      "opportunity_id": "opp-mcp-launch-sprint",
      "overall_score": 7.55,
      "rank": 4,
      "role_scores": {
        "asset": 7.16,
        "cash": 7.91,
        "frontier": 7.16
      }
    },
    {
      "category": "marketplace_service",
      "evidence_ids": [
        "ev-upwork-demand-2026",
        "ev-fiverr-ai-marketplace",
        "ev-contra-agent-commerce"
      ],
      "name": "Fixed-Scope Data Cleanup Service",
      "opportunity_id": "opp-data-cleanup",
      "overall_score": 7.55,
      "rank": 5,
      "role_scores": {
        "asset": 6.91,
        "cash": 7.91,
        "frontier": 6.41
      }
    },
    {
      "category": "media_service",
      "evidence_ids": [
        "ev-upwork-demand-2026",
        "ev-fiverr-ai-marketplace",
        "ev-contra-agent-commerce"
      ],
      "name": "Founder Demo Repurposing Pack",
      "opportunity_id": "opp-ai-video-pack",
      "overall_score": 7.1,
      "rank": 6,
      "role_scores": {
        "asset": 7.07,
        "cash": 7.32,
        "frontier": 6.82
      }
    },
    {
      "category": "agent_native_data_endpoint",
      "evidence_ids": [
        "ev-x402-live-scan",
        "ev-x402-free-tooling"
      ],
      "name": "Agent Opportunity Pulse",
      "opportunity_id": "opp-x402-opportunity-pulse",
      "overall_score": 6.86,
      "rank": 7,
      "role_scores": {
        "asset": 7.15,
        "cash": 6.15,
        "frontier": 7.65
      }
    },
    {
      "category": "commerce_service",
      "evidence_ids": [
        "ev-openai-product-discovery",
        "ev-upwork-demand-2026"
      ],
      "name": "Agent-Ready Commerce Catalog Repair",
      "opportunity_id": "opp-commerce-catalog",
      "overall_score": 6.8,
      "rank": 8,
      "role_scores": {
        "asset": 6.85,
        "cash": 6.6,
        "frontier": 6.6
      }
    },
    {
      "category": "agent_commerce_service",
      "evidence_ids": [
        "ev-x402-live-scan",
        "ev-x402-free-tooling",
        "ev-upwork-demand-2026"
      ],
      "name": "x402 Endpoint Implementation Sprint",
      "opportunity_id": "opp-x402-sprint",
      "overall_score": 6.63,
      "rank": 9,
      "role_scores": {
        "asset": 6.47,
        "cash": 6.47,
        "frontier": 6.97
      }
    },
    {
      "category": "creative_service",
      "evidence_ids": [
        "ev-fiverr-ai-marketplace",
        "ev-upwork-demand-2026"
      ],
      "name": "Original AI Media Commission",
      "opportunity_id": "opp-ai-art-commission",
      "overall_score": 6.57,
      "rank": 10,
      "role_scores": {
        "asset": 6.43,
        "cash": 6.68,
        "frontier": 6.43
      }
    },
    {
      "category": "content_attention",
      "evidence_ids": [
        "ev-linkedin-creator-thresholds",
        "ev-youtube-thresholds"
      ],
      "name": "Build-in-Public Revenue Series",
      "opportunity_id": "opp-build-in-public-content",
      "overall_score": 6.03,
      "rank": 11,
      "role_scores": {
        "asset": 6.27,
        "cash": 5.02,
        "frontier": 6.02
      }
    },
    {
      "category": "micro_saas",
      "evidence_ids": [
        "ev-upwork-live-evals-job",
        "ev-upwork-demand-2026"
      ],
      "name": "Hosted Agent Eval Dashboard",
      "opportunity_id": "opp-agent-eval-saas",
      "overall_score": 5.8,
      "rank": 12,
      "role_scores": {
        "asset": 6.6,
        "cash": 4.85,
        "frontier": 6.1
      }
    },
    {
      "category": "nft_collectible",
      "evidence_ids": [
        "ev-nft-market"
      ],
      "name": "Embodiment Milestone Collectible",
      "opportunity_id": "opp-embodiment-collectible",
      "overall_score": 4.44,
      "rank": 13,
      "role_scores": {
        "asset": 4.58,
        "cash": 3.83,
        "frontier": 5.08
      }
    }
  ],
  "recently_killed_or_pivoted": [],
  "revenue": {
    "contingency_reserve": 0.0,
    "currency": "USD",
    "direct_costs": 0.0,
    "gross_revenue": 0.0,
    "net_revenue": 0.0,
    "physical_form_fund": 0.0,
    "platform_fees": 0.0,
    "processor_fees": 0.0,
    "refunds": 0.0,
    "reinvestment_balance": 0.0,
    "verified_transactions": 0
  },
  "scan_id": "m3-fresh-scan-2026-07-09",
  "schema_name": "autonomous_revenue_operator_state",
  "schema_version": "0.3"
}